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	<title>James Goux &#187; wall-e</title>
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		<title>My Oscar Predictions and Favorites (2009)</title>
		<link>http://jamesgoux.com/my-oscar-predictions-and-favorites</link>
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		<pubDate>Sun, 22 Feb 2009 08:28:36 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>James Goux</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Film]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[2009]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[acadamy awards]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[award shows]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[milk]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[nominations]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[oscar]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[oscars]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[predictions]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Slumdog Millionaire]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[The Curious Case of Benjamin Button]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[the dark knight]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[vicki cristina barcelona]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[wall-e]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Film is very important to me, and I&#8217;ve always enjoyed the Acadamy Awards. I&#8217;ve made a special effort this year to watch as many Oscar nominated films as I can, and I think I&#8217;ve done a pretty good job of it. So, it is with great pride that I present to you my predictions for [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Film is very important to me, and I&#8217;ve always enjoyed the Acadamy Awards.  I&#8217;ve made a special effort this year to watch as many Oscar nominated  films as I can, and I think I&#8217;ve done a pretty good job of it.  So, it is with great pride that I present to you my predictions for tomorrow night&#8217;s ceremony.  But first, I&#8217;d like to make it clear which movies I&#8217;ve seen, so readers can understand exactly which nominess on which I&#8217;m speaking with first-hand knowledge.</p>
<p>Nominated movies I saw as of 2/21/2009:</p>
<ul>
<li>Changeling</li>
<li>The Curious Case of Benjamin Button<a rel="external nofollow" href="http://www.flickr.com/photos/28567825@N03/3001714270"><img class="alignright" style="border: 0pt none; margin-left: 8px; margin-right: 8px;" src="http://farm4.static.flickr.com/3249/3001714270_2e74ccde42_m.jpg" border="0" alt="Best Actress Academy Awards" hspace="8" width="240" height="146" align="left" /></a></li>
<li>The Dark Knight</li>
<li>Doubt</li>
<li>Frost/Nixon</li>
<li>Hellboy II: The Golden Army</li>
<li>In Bruges</li>
<li>Iron Man</li>
<li>Kung Fu Panda</li>
<li>Milk</li>
<li>Presto</li>
<li>Rachel Getting Married</li>
<li>The Reader</li>
<li>Slumdog Millionaire</li>
<li>Tropic Thunder</li>
<li>Vicky Cristina Barcelona</li>
<li>The Visitor</li>
<li>Wall-E</li>
<li>Wanted</li>
<li>The Wrestler</li>
</ul>
<p>Edit: before the ceremony on Sunday, I was able to catch the following:</p>
<ul>
<li>Toyland</li>
<li>Lavatory &#8211; Love Story</li>
<li>Octapodi</li>
<li>This Way Up</li>
<li>Manon on the Asphalt</li>
<li>On the Line</li>
</ul>
<p>Because of this, I&#8217;ve changed my prediction on the animated short catagory.  <span id="more-236"></span></p>
<p>Okay, now that that&#8217;s out of the way, I&#8217;m going to lay out my predictions by catagory.  I will <span style="text-decoration: underline;">UNDERLINE</span> for my predicted winner, the one I think will win.  And just because there&#8217;s a few where I have personal favorites, I will also <em>ITALICZE</em> those.  If my favorites and my predictions line up, they will be marked by <em><span style="text-decoration: underline;">BOTH</span></em>.  Here we go&#8230;</p>
<p><span style="color: #942928;"><strong>BEST PICTURE</strong></span><br />
<strong>&#8220;The Curious Case of Benjamin Button&#8221;<br />
&#8220;Frost/Nixon&#8221;<br />
&#8220;Milk&#8221;<br />
&#8220;The Reader&#8221;<br />
<span style="text-decoration: underline;"><em>&#8220;Slumdog Millionaire&#8221; </em></span></strong></p>
<p><span style="color: #942928;"><strong>BEST ACTRESS</strong></span><br />
<em><strong>Anne Hathaway</strong>, &#8220;Rachel Getting Married&#8221;</em><br />
<strong>Angelina Jolie</strong>, &#8220;Changeling&#8221;<br />
<strong>Melissa Leo</strong>, &#8220;Frozen River&#8221;<br />
<strong>Meryl Streep</strong>, &#8220;Doubt&#8221;<br />
<em><span style="text-decoration: underline;"><strong>Kate Winslet</strong>, &#8220;The Reader&#8221; </span></em></p>
<p><span style="color: #942928;"><strong>BEST ACTOR</strong></span><br />
<em><strong>Frank Langella</strong>, &#8220;Frost/Nixon&#8221; </em><br />
<span style="text-decoration: underline;"><strong>Sean Penn</strong>, &#8220;Milk&#8221; </span><br />
<strong>Brad Pitt</strong>, &#8220;The Curious Case of Benjamin Button&#8221;<br />
<strong>Mickey Rourke</strong>, &#8220;The Wrestler&#8221;<br />
<strong>Richard Jenkins,</strong> &#8220;The Visitor&#8221;</p>
<p><span style="color: #942928;"><strong>BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS</strong></span><br />
<strong>Amy Adams</strong>, &#8220;Doubt&#8221;<br />
<em><span style="text-decoration: underline;"><strong>Penelope Cruz</strong>, &#8220;Vicky Cristina Barcelona&#8221; </span></em><br />
<strong>Viola Davis</strong>, &#8220;Doubt&#8221;<br />
<strong>Taraji P. Henson</strong>, &#8220;The Curious Case of Benjamin Button&#8221;<br />
<strong>Marisa Tomei</strong>, &#8220;The Wrestler&#8221;</p>
<p><span style="color: #942928;"><strong>BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR</strong></span><br />
<strong>Josh Brolin</strong>, &#8220;Milk&#8221;<br />
<strong>Robert Downey Jr.</strong>, &#8220;Tropic Thunder&#8221;<br />
<strong>Philip Seymour Hoffman</strong>, &#8220;Doubt&#8221;<br />
<span style="text-decoration: underline;"><em><strong>Heath Ledger</strong>, &#8220;The Dark Knight&#8221; </em></span><br />
<strong>Michael Shannon</strong>, &#8220;Revolutionary Road&#8221;</p>
<p><span style="color: #942928;"><strong>BEST DIRECTOR</strong></span><br />
<span style="text-decoration: underline;"><em><strong>Danny Boyle</strong>, &#8220;Slumdog Millionaire&#8221; </em></span><br />
<strong>Stephen Daldry</strong>, &#8220;The Reader&#8221;<br />
<strong>David Fincher</strong>, &#8220;The Curious Case of Benjamin Button&#8221;<br />
<strong>Ron Howard</strong>, &#8220;Frost/Nixon&#8221;<br />
<strong>Gus Van Sant</strong>, &#8220;Milk&#8221;</p>
<p><span style="color: #942928;"><strong>BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY</strong></span><br />
<span style="text-decoration: underline;"><strong>Dustin Lance Black</strong>, &#8220;Milk&#8221;</span><br />
<strong>Courtney Hunt,</strong> &#8220;Frozen River&#8221;<br />
<strong>Mike Leigh</strong>, &#8220;Happy-Go-Lucky&#8221;<br />
<em><strong>Martin McDonagh,</strong> &#8220;In Bruges&#8221; </em><br />
<strong>Andrew Stanton, and Jim Reardon; original story by Stanton and Pete Docter</strong>&#8220;WALL-E&#8221;</p>
<p><span style="color: #942928;"><strong>BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY</strong></span><br />
<em><span style="text-decoration: underline;"><strong>Simon Beaufoy</strong>, &#8220;Slumdog Millionaire&#8221;</span></em><br />
<strong>David Hare</strong>, &#8220;The Reader&#8221;<br />
<strong>Peter Morgan</strong>, &#8220;Frost/Nixon&#8221;<br />
<strong>John Patrick Shanley</strong>, &#8220;Doubt&#8221;<br />
<strong>Eric Roth, Robin Swicord</strong>, &#8220;The Curious Case of Benjamin Button&#8221;</p>
<p><span style="color: #942928;"><strong>BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM</strong></span><br />
<strong>&#8220;The Baader-Meinhof Complex&#8221;</strong> (Germany)<br />
<strong>&#8220;The Class&#8221;</strong> (France)<br />
<strong>&#8220;Departures&#8221;</strong> (Japan)<br />
<strong>&#8220;Revanche&#8221;</strong> (Austria)<br />
<span style="text-decoration: underline;"><strong>&#8220;Waltz with Bashir&#8221;</strong> (Israel) </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #942928;"><strong>BEST ANIMATED FILM</strong></span><br />
<strong>&#8220;Bolt&#8221;<br />
&#8220;Kung Fu Panda&#8221;<br />
<em><span style="text-decoration: underline;">&#8220;WALL-E&#8221;</span></em></strong></p>
<p><span style="color: #942928;"><strong>BEST ART DIRECTION</strong></span><br />
<strong><em>&#8220;Changeling&#8221;</em><br />
&#8220;The Curious Case Of Benjamin Button&#8221;<br />
&#8220;The Dark Knight&#8221;<br />
<span style="text-decoration: underline;">&#8220;The Duchess&#8221; </span><br />
&#8220;Revolutionary Road&#8221;</strong></p>
<p><span style="color: #942928;"><strong>BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY</strong></span><br />
<strong>&#8220;Changeling&#8221;</strong> Tom Stern<br />
<strong>&#8220;Slumdog Millionaire,&#8221;</strong> Anthony Dod Mantle<br />
<strong>&#8220;The Reader,&#8221;</strong> Chris Menges<br />
<span style="text-decoration: underline;"><em><strong>&#8220;The Curious Case Of Benjamin Button,&#8221;</strong> Claudio Miranda </em></span><br />
<strong>&#8220;The Dark Knight,&#8221;</strong> Wally Pfister</p>
<p><span style="color: #942928;"><strong>BEST FILM EDITING</strong></span><br />
<strong>&#8220;The Curious Case of Benjamin Button,&#8221;</strong> Kirk Baxter, Angus Wall<br />
<strong>&#8220;The Dark Knight,&#8221;</strong> Lee Smith<br />
<strong>&#8220;Frost/Nixon,&#8221;</strong> Daniel P. Hanley, Mike Hill<br />
<strong>&#8220;Milk,&#8221;</strong> Elliot Graham<br />
<em><span style="text-decoration: underline;"><strong>&#8220;Slumdog Millionaire,&#8221;</strong> Chris Dickens</span></em></p>
<p><span style="color: #942928;"><strong>BEST COSTUME DESIGN</strong></span><br />
<strong>&#8220;Australia,&#8221;</strong> Catherine Martin<br />
<strong>&#8220;The Curious Case Of Benjamin Button,&#8221;</strong> Jacqueline West<br />
<span style="text-decoration: underline;"><strong>&#8220;The Duchess,&#8221;</strong> Michael O&#8217;Conner </span><br />
<strong>&#8220;Milk&#8221;,</strong> Danny Glicker<br />
<strong>&#8220;Revolutionary Road,&#8221;</strong> Albert Wolsky</p>
<p><span style="color: #942928;"><strong>BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE</strong></span><br />
<strong>&#8220;The Betrayal (Nerakhoon)&#8221;<br />
&#8220;Encounters at the End of the World&#8221;<br />
&#8220;The Garden&#8221;<br />
&#8220;Man on Wire&#8221;<br />
<span style="text-decoration: underline;">&#8220;Trouble the Water&#8221; </span></strong></p>
<p><span style="color: #942928;"><strong>BEST ORIGINAL SONG</strong></span></p>
<p><strong>&#8220;Slumdog Millionaire,&#8221; </strong> &#8220;Jai Ho&#8221;<br />
<strong>&#8220;Slumdog Millionaire,&#8221; </strong> &#8220;O Saya&#8221;<br />
<span style="text-decoration: underline;"><strong>&#8220;WALL-E,&#8221; </strong>&#8220;Down To Earth&#8221; </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #942928;"><strong>BEST ORIGINAL SCORE</strong></span><br />
<strong>&#8220;The Curious Case Of Benjamin Button,&#8221;</strong> Alexandre Desplat<br />
<strong>&#8220;Defiance,&#8221;</strong> James Newton Howard<br />
<strong>&#8220;Milk,&#8221;</strong> Danny Elfman<br />
<em><span style="text-decoration: underline;"><strong>&#8220;Slumdog Millionaire,&#8221;</strong> A.R. Rahman </span></em><br />
<strong>&#8220;WALL-E,&#8221;</strong> Thomas Newman</p>
<p><span style="color: #942928;"><strong>BEST MAKEUP</strong></span><br />
<strong><em><span style="text-decoration: underline;">&#8220;The Curious Case of Benjamin Button,&#8221;</span></em><br />
&#8220;The Dark Knight,&#8221;<br />
&#8220;Hellboy II: The Golden Army,&#8221;</strong></p>
<p><span style="color: #942928;"><strong>BEST SOUND EDITING</strong></span><br />
<strong>&#8220;The Dark Knight&#8221;<br />
&#8220;Iron Man&#8221;<br />
&#8220;Slumdog Millionaire&#8221;<br />
<em><span style="text-decoration: underline;">&#8220;WALL-E&#8221;</span></em><br />
&#8220;Wanted&#8221;</strong></p>
<p><span style="color: #942928;"><strong>BEST SOUND MIXING </strong></span><br />
<strong>&#8220;The Curious Case of Benjamin Button&#8221;<br />
&#8220;The Dark Knight&#8221;<br />
&#8220;Slumdog Millionaire&#8221;<br />
<span style="text-decoration: underline;"><em>&#8220;WALL-E&#8221;</em></span><br />
&#8220;Wanted&#8221;</strong></p>
<p><span style="color: #942928;"><strong>BEST VISUAL EFFECTS</strong></span><br />
<strong><em><span style="text-decoration: underline;">&#8220;The Curious Case of Benjamin Button&#8221; </span></em><br />
&#8220;The Dark Knight&#8221;<br />
&#8220;Iron Man&#8221;</strong></p>
<p><span style="color: #942928;"><strong>BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT FILM</strong></span><br />
<strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">&#8220;Auf der Strecke (On the Line)&#8221; </span><br />
<em>&#8220;Manon on the Asphalt&#8221;</em><br />
&#8220;New Boy&#8221;<br />
&#8220;The Pig&#8221;<br />
&#8220;Spielzeugland (Toyland)&#8221;</strong></p>
<p><span style="color: #942928;"><strong>BEST ANIMATED SHORT FILM</strong></span><br />
<strong>&#8220;La Maison en Petits Cubes&#8221;<br />
&#8220;Lavatory &#8211; Lovestory&#8221;<br />
&#8220;Oktapodi&#8221;<br />
<em><span style="text-decoration: underline;">&#8220;Presto&#8221; </span></em><br />
&#8220;This Way Up&#8221;</strong></p>
<p><span style="color: #942928;"><strong>BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT FILM</strong></span><br />
<strong>&#8220;The Conscience of Nhem En&#8221;<br />
<span style="text-decoration: underline;">&#8220;The Final Inch&#8221; </span><br />
&#8220;Smile Pinki&#8221;<br />
&#8220;The Witness &#8211; From the Balcony of Room 306&#8243;</strong></p>
<p>The only adjustment I might make is if I have time to watch a few shorts tomorrow (I might also make an effort for Revolutionary Road).  Time will tell if any of these prove correct.</p>
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